الأربعاء، 15 سبتمبر 2021

مستقبل الطاقة في مصر كما نريدها لأحفادنا The future of energy in Egypt as we want it for our grandchildren

 








Dr.-Ing. Hani El Nokraschy                                                      

The usually, fossil fuels are used to produce electricity, they are polluting and limited, however renewable energies are not always as useful as it may appear. Fluctuating renewables like Wind, Wave and Tide, Photovoltaics are supplying electricity when the weather conditions allow, not necessarily matching the demand of a civil-industrial society

Natural sources that are capable of supplying electricity at any time and “ON DEMAND” are big dams like the Aswan high-dam and geothermal sources, both are limited to certain sites. Solar Thermal power stations are limited to two large bands on the globe, called sun belts at the latitudes ca. 20 to 30 north and south. In these large areas, the sunrays are generally direct, allowing a concentration of the same by means of several mirrors and thus reaching a high temperatures of over 500° centigrade. This temperature is sufficient to produce steam from water and thus drive a steam turbine, and in addition store a part of the heat in a special salt mixture placed in a sufficiently large insulated tank to bridge the night. This allows a continuous operation 24/7 and on demand

Even in the sunbelts there are some days of heavy clouds and also sand storms, amounting to 3-5% of the year. For these few days, a burner is to be used to heat the stored of the existing salts taking advantage of the presence of steam

turbine and generator, thus allowing an interruption-free and weather-independent operation at very limited costs

Such solar thermal power stations are capable to replace fossil power stations because they have the same performance, and moreover, they are capable of a very effective seawater desalination if placed beside seashore. However, they cost 6-8 times of an equivalent fossil power station

Following method is suggested to overcome the financial burden and get favour of two topics

Save cost of fuel for the life time of the power station

Save the expensive infrastructure needed to transfer the produced electricity from large power stations to the customers


Till now the old-fashioned thinking was dominating, which says that big units are more cost effective; which is true, however, this policy leads to higher infrastructure costs

The suggested strategy consists of two steps

Planning a gradual increase of building and deploying standardized units of 50 Mega Watts each and place them as near as possible to the demand sites. Since the sun shines everywhere in Egypt, then no need to look after fuel pipelines and/or cooling water sources, as the standard design uses completely dry air-cooled condensers for the steam turbine cycle

Keeping the design unchanged, the condenser may be replaced by a desalination unit in case the power station is near the sea; thus using the waste heat for evaporation and condensing

Plan to install groups of five units – called Khemesa  connected together to form a local grid to supply the surrounding settlements

The advantage of Khemesa is that it is completely self-contained, because during winter, where the demand is about 20% less than in summer, one unit in turn can be halted for periodic revision, and in summer all units will work and supply excess electricity to the main grid. One gas turbine unit of 50 MW is added to the to Khemesa local grid to secure its operation 365 days/year even in emergency case

The expected production cost reduction by increasing deployed standardized units is much higher than expected by building bigger units (Economy of Scale). Moreover small units of 50 MW are much faster to commission and enable the “Khemesa” strategy. This in turn allows adequate adaptation to growing demand and saves line connections and the involved losses

Mass production of standardized 50 MW solar thermal power stations will open the possibility to build excess capacity, which will be installed in the desert and connected together to form an equivalent GW power station. The produced electricity can then be sold to Europe to help EU’s efforts reducing CO2 emissions by closing the supply gaps of wind and PV. These supply gaps are being closed now by coal fired power stations. Connecting the Egyptian grid to the EU-grid brings seasonal advantages as the electricity demand in Europe is seasonally opposite to that in Egypt

Each installed and operated GW of solar thermal power stations in Khemesa strategy will save 30-40 Billion US$ (depending on fuel costs) within the 40 years service time a power station, accordingly, the initial cost of installation amounting to a multiple (6-8 times) of the cost of fossil fired power station does not matter much

The expected financial savings for Egypt, assuming the current growth of electricity demand is over 1000 Billion US$ within 33 years


NOKRASCHY ENGINEERING GmbH

(Hamburg)

www.nokraschy.net 

 

The visual debate in Arabic Language

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dj1kA_rLtSA

 


الشبكة المصرية

 عشر سنوات في خدمة القطاع الناشيء 

       ENFRWC Ten years serving emerging sector of Water & RE

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